MCQ
Choose the correct answer from the given four options.The probability that exactly two of the three balls were red, the first ball being red, is:
  • A
    $\frac{1}{3}$
  • $\frac{4}{7}$
  • C
    $\frac{15}{28}$
  • D
    $\frac{5}{28}$

Answer

Correct option: B.
$\frac{4}{7}$
Let $E_1 =$ Event that first ball being red
And $E_2 =$ Event that exactly two of three balls being red
$\therefore\text{P}(\text{E}_1)=\text{P}_{\text{R}}\cdot\text{P}_{\text{R}}\cdot\text{P}_{\text{R}}+\text{P}_{\text{R}}\cdot\text{P}_{\text{R}}\cdot\text{P}{_\bar{\text{R}}}+\text{P}_{\text{R}}\cdot\text{P}{_\bar{\text{R}}}\cdot\text{P}_{\text{R}}+\text{P}_{\text{R}}\cdot\text{P}{_\bar{\text{R}}}\cdot\text{P}{_\bar{\text{R}}}$
$=\frac{5}{8}\cdot\frac{4}{7}\cdot\frac{3}{6}+\frac{5}{8}\cdot\frac{4}{7}\cdot\frac{3}{6}+\frac{5}{8}\cdot\frac{3}{7}\cdot\frac{4}{6}+\frac{5}{8}\cdot\frac{3}{7}\cdot\frac{2}{6}$
$=\frac{60+60+60+30}{336}=\frac{210}{336}$
$\text{P}(\text{E}_1\cap\text{E}_2)=\text{P}{_\text{R}}\cdot\text{P}{_\bar{\text{R}}}\cdot\text{P}{_\text{R}}+\text{P}{_\text{R}}\cdot\text{P}{_\text{R}}\cdot\text{P}{_\bar{\text{R}}}$
$=\frac{5}{8}\cdot\frac{3}{7}\cdot\frac{4}{6}+\frac{5}{8}\cdot\frac{4}{7}\cdot\frac{3}{6}=\frac{120}{336}$
$\therefore\text{P}\Big(\frac{\text{E}_2}{\text{E}_1}\Big)=\frac{\text{P}(\text{E}_1\cap\text{E}_2)}{\text{P}(\text{E}_1)}$
$=\frac{\frac{120}{336}}{\frac{210}{336}}=\frac{4}{7}$

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