Question 15 Marks
Using the world population formula $P=6.9\left(1.011^t\right.$, where $t$ is the number of years after 2011 and $P$ and 6.9 billion people in 2011 is the world population in billions of people, estimate :
(a) the population in the year 2050 to the nearest hundred million, and
(b) by what year will the population be double what it was in 2011.
(a) the population in the year 2050 to the nearest hundred million, and
(b) by what year will the population be double what it was in 2011.
Answer
$\begin{array}{l}\text {(a) Here, } t=2050-2011=39 \\ \therefore \quad P=6.9(1.011)^{39}\end{array}$
Taking $\log$ on both sides, we get
$
\begin{array}{cc}
\Rightarrow& \log _{10} P=\log _{10}\left[6.9(1.011)^{39}\right] \\
\Rightarrow & \log _{10} P=\log _{10}(6.9)+\log _{10}(1.011)^{39} \\
& {\left[\text { Applying rule } \log _a(m n)=\log _a m+\log _a n\right]} \\
\Rightarrow & \log _{10} P=\log _{10}(6.9)+39 \log _{10}(1.011) \\
& {\left[\text { Applying rule } \log _a m^n=n \log _a m\right]} \\
\Rightarrow & \log _{10} P=0.83884+39(0.00475) \\
\Rightarrow & \log _{10} P=0.83884+0.18525 [By\ using\ log\ table] \\
\Rightarrow & \log _{10} P=1.02409 \\
\Rightarrow & \log _{10} P=\text { antilog using log table] }(1.02409) \\
\Rightarrow & P=10.57 \cong 10.6
\end{array}
$
[By using antilog table]
Hence, the population in 2050 will be about 10.6
billion people.
(b) Here,
$P=2(6.9)=13.8$
Now,$13.8=6.9(1.011)^t$
$\Rightarrow$ $2=(1.011)^t$
Taking log on both sides, we get
$
\begin{array}{ll}
\Rightarrow \quad & \log 2=\log (1.011)^t \\
\Rightarrow \quad & \log 2=t \log (1.011)
\end{array}
$$
\begin{array}{ll}
& \text { [Applying rule } \left.\log _a m=n \log _a m\right] \\
\Rightarrow & t=\frac{\log 2}{\log (1.011)} \\
\Rightarrow & t=\frac{0.3010}{0.00475} \\
\Rightarrow & t=63.359 \cong 64
\end{array}
$
Thus, population will be double (i.e., 13.8 billion people) the 2011 population by the year $=2011+$ $64=2075$.
View full question & answer→$\begin{array}{l}\text {(a) Here, } t=2050-2011=39 \\ \therefore \quad P=6.9(1.011)^{39}\end{array}$
Taking $\log$ on both sides, we get
$
\begin{array}{cc}
\Rightarrow& \log _{10} P=\log _{10}\left[6.9(1.011)^{39}\right] \\
\Rightarrow & \log _{10} P=\log _{10}(6.9)+\log _{10}(1.011)^{39} \\
& {\left[\text { Applying rule } \log _a(m n)=\log _a m+\log _a n\right]} \\
\Rightarrow & \log _{10} P=\log _{10}(6.9)+39 \log _{10}(1.011) \\
& {\left[\text { Applying rule } \log _a m^n=n \log _a m\right]} \\
\Rightarrow & \log _{10} P=0.83884+39(0.00475) \\
\Rightarrow & \log _{10} P=0.83884+0.18525 [By\ using\ log\ table] \\
\Rightarrow & \log _{10} P=1.02409 \\
\Rightarrow & \log _{10} P=\text { antilog using log table] }(1.02409) \\
\Rightarrow & P=10.57 \cong 10.6
\end{array}
$
[By using antilog table]
Hence, the population in 2050 will be about 10.6
billion people.
(b) Here,
$P=2(6.9)=13.8$
Now,$13.8=6.9(1.011)^t$
$\Rightarrow$ $2=(1.011)^t$
Taking log on both sides, we get
$
\begin{array}{ll}
\Rightarrow \quad & \log 2=\log (1.011)^t \\
\Rightarrow \quad & \log 2=t \log (1.011)
\end{array}
$$
\begin{array}{ll}
& \text { [Applying rule } \left.\log _a m=n \log _a m\right] \\
\Rightarrow & t=\frac{\log 2}{\log (1.011)} \\
\Rightarrow & t=\frac{0.3010}{0.00475} \\
\Rightarrow & t=63.359 \cong 64
\end{array}
$
Thus, population will be double (i.e., 13.8 billion people) the 2011 population by the year $=2011+$ $64=2075$.